Turkey-Military Operation/Analysis

Turkey unlikely to launch large-scale military operation into Syria: expert

  • English
  • العربية

Shotlist


FILE: Damascus, Syria - Date Unknown (CCTV - No Access Chinese Mainland/Orient TV/Syria Alshaab TV/Zanoubia TV/Alhurra TV/ANN TV/Al Jazeera/Al-Arabiya TV)
1. National flag of Syria
2. Various of traffic, pedestrians, buildings

Ankara, Turkey - Dec 13, 2018 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
3. SOUNDBITE (English) Oytun Orhan, researcher, Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies:
"In the long term, Turkey thinks that this zone, this YPG-controlled zone, will gain a political status, like a federal state or an autonomous state, which could also threaten Turkey's own territorial integrity and will pose a huge threat to its security."

Ankara, Turkey - Recent (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
4. Various of traffic, pedestrians

Ankara, Turkey - Dec 13, 2018 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
5. SOUNDBITE (English) Oytun Orhan, researcher, Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies:
"There is a U.S. military entity in the region and also, besides, the U.S. established some observation points on the border area. So this limits the Turkish offensive. Probably, Turkey will try to control the border area, will try to take control of some critical points."

FILE: Damascus, Syria - April 14, 2018 (CCTV - No Access Chinese Mainland/Orient TV/Syria Alshaab TV/Zanoubia TV/Alhurra TV/ANN TV/Al Jazeera/Al-Arabiya TV)
6. Various of damaged buildings following air strike

FILE: Raqqa, Syria - Aug, 2017 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland/Orient TV/Syria Alshaab TV/Zanoubia TV/Alhurra TV/ANN TV/Al Jazeera/Al-Arabiya TV)
7. Various of smoke rising after air strike

Ankara, Turkey - Dec 13, 2018 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
8. SOUNDBITE (English) Oytun Orhan, researcher, Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies:
"I think still the diplomatic track is open. Turkey wants to show the U.S. that she is really serious and in case in the coming days if there could be talks between U.S. and Turkish officials at high level and some concessions could be given to Turkey. I think still there is an opportunity to prevent a Turkish offensive."

Ankara, Turkey - Recent (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
9. Various of pedestrians, traffic

Storyline


Turkey is unlikely to launch a large-scale military operation into northern Syria but it aims to urge the United States to solve the Kurdish fighter issue, said Oytun Orhan, a Turkish researcher from the Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Wednesday that Turkey will launch a military operation in the east of the Euphrates River in Syria in a few days, referring to the territory controlled by Syrian Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG).

Turkey regards the YPG as a Syrian affiliate of the Kurdistan Workers' Party designated as a terrorist organization by Turkey, the United States and the European Union.

The statement came after the United States is establishing observation posts along the border between Turkey and Syria where the YPG keeps control, though the Pentagon explained Tuesday that the U.S. observation posts in northern Syria aimed to prevent conflicts between the Turkish army and the U.S.-backed YPG.

"In the long run, Turkey thinks that this zone, this YPG-controlled zone, will gain a political status, like a federal state or an autonomous state, which could also threaten Turkey's own territorial integrity and will pose a huge threat to its security," said Orhan.

The YPG, a part of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) alliance, has been a partner in the U.S.-led campaign against the Islamic State (IS) in Syria. According to Turkish media, the U.S. has set up at least 26 military bases in the east of the Euphrates.

"There is a U.S. military entity in the region and also, besides, the U.S. established some observation points on the border area. So this limits the Turkish offensive. Probably, Turkey will try to control the border area, will try to take control of some critical points," said Orhan.

Since 2016, Turkey has had many negotiations with the U.S., trying to limit the YPG through diplomatic means. Earlier this year, Turkey and the U.S. reached a deal over Syria's Manbij, under which the YPG militia would completely withdraw from the area.

However, the implementation of the deal did not go as expected, and Turkey wants to add its leverage in negotiations with the U.S. by announcing the new military operation, said the expert.

"I think still the diplomatic track is open. Turkey wants to show the U.S. that she is really serious and in case in the coming days if there could be talks between U.S. and Turkish officials at high level and some concessions could be given to Turkey. I think still there is an opportunity to prevent a Turkish offensive," said Orhan.

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  • ID : 8098202
  • Dateline : Dec 13, 2018/Recent/File
  • Location : Turkey
  • Category : conflicts, war and peace
  • Duration : 2'06
  • Audio Language : English/Nats
  • Source : China Central Television (CCTV)
  • Restrictions : See Shotlist
  • Published : 2018-12-14 12:12
  • Last Modified : 2018-12-17 11:03:00
  • Version : 1
  • ID : 8098202
  • Dateline : 13 ديسمبر 2018
  • Location : تركيا
  • Category : conflicts, war and peace
  • Duration : 2'06
  • Audio Language : الانجليزية/الصوت الطبيعي
  • Source : China Central Television (CCTV)
  • Restrictions : CCTV - No Access Chinese Mainland/Orient TV/Syria Alshaab TV/Zanoubia TV/Alhurra TV/ANN TV/Al Jazeera/Al-Arabiya TV
  • Published : 2018-12-14 18:26
  • Last Modified : 2018-12-17 11:03:00
  • Version : 1

Turkey-Military Operation/Analysis

Turkey unlikely to launch large-scale military operation into Syria: expert

Dateline : Dec 13, 2018/Recent/File

Location : Turkey

Duration : 2'06

  • English
  • العربية


FILE: Damascus, Syria - Date Unknown (CCTV - No Access Chinese Mainland/Orient TV/Syria Alshaab TV/Zanoubia TV/Alhurra TV/ANN TV/Al Jazeera/Al-Arabiya TV)
1. National flag of Syria
2. Various of traffic, pedestrians, buildings

Ankara, Turkey - Dec 13, 2018 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
3. SOUNDBITE (English) Oytun Orhan, researcher, Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies:
"In the long term, Turkey thinks that this zone, this YPG-controlled zone, will gain a political status, like a federal state or an autonomous state, which could also threaten Turkey's own territorial integrity and will pose a huge threat to its security."

Ankara, Turkey - Recent (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
4. Various of traffic, pedestrians

Ankara, Turkey - Dec 13, 2018 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
5. SOUNDBITE (English) Oytun Orhan, researcher, Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies:
"There is a U.S. military entity in the region and also, besides, the U.S. established some observation points on the border area. So this limits the Turkish offensive. Probably, Turkey will try to control the border area, will try to take control of some critical points."

FILE: Damascus, Syria - April 14, 2018 (CCTV - No Access Chinese Mainland/Orient TV/Syria Alshaab TV/Zanoubia TV/Alhurra TV/ANN TV/Al Jazeera/Al-Arabiya TV)
6. Various of damaged buildings following air strike

FILE: Raqqa, Syria - Aug, 2017 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland/Orient TV/Syria Alshaab TV/Zanoubia TV/Alhurra TV/ANN TV/Al Jazeera/Al-Arabiya TV)
7. Various of smoke rising after air strike

Ankara, Turkey - Dec 13, 2018 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
8. SOUNDBITE (English) Oytun Orhan, researcher, Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies:
"I think still the diplomatic track is open. Turkey wants to show the U.S. that she is really serious and in case in the coming days if there could be talks between U.S. and Turkish officials at high level and some concessions could be given to Turkey. I think still there is an opportunity to prevent a Turkish offensive."

Ankara, Turkey - Recent (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
9. Various of pedestrians, traffic


Turkey is unlikely to launch a large-scale military operation into northern Syria but it aims to urge the United States to solve the Kurdish fighter issue, said Oytun Orhan, a Turkish researcher from the Center for Middle Eastern Strategic Studies.

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said on Wednesday that Turkey will launch a military operation in the east of the Euphrates River in Syria in a few days, referring to the territory controlled by Syrian Kurdish People's Protection Units (YPG).

Turkey regards the YPG as a Syrian affiliate of the Kurdistan Workers' Party designated as a terrorist organization by Turkey, the United States and the European Union.

The statement came after the United States is establishing observation posts along the border between Turkey and Syria where the YPG keeps control, though the Pentagon explained Tuesday that the U.S. observation posts in northern Syria aimed to prevent conflicts between the Turkish army and the U.S.-backed YPG.

"In the long run, Turkey thinks that this zone, this YPG-controlled zone, will gain a political status, like a federal state or an autonomous state, which could also threaten Turkey's own territorial integrity and will pose a huge threat to its security," said Orhan.

The YPG, a part of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) alliance, has been a partner in the U.S.-led campaign against the Islamic State (IS) in Syria. According to Turkish media, the U.S. has set up at least 26 military bases in the east of the Euphrates.

"There is a U.S. military entity in the region and also, besides, the U.S. established some observation points on the border area. So this limits the Turkish offensive. Probably, Turkey will try to control the border area, will try to take control of some critical points," said Orhan.

Since 2016, Turkey has had many negotiations with the U.S., trying to limit the YPG through diplomatic means. Earlier this year, Turkey and the U.S. reached a deal over Syria's Manbij, under which the YPG militia would completely withdraw from the area.

However, the implementation of the deal did not go as expected, and Turkey wants to add its leverage in negotiations with the U.S. by announcing the new military operation, said the expert.

"I think still the diplomatic track is open. Turkey wants to show the U.S. that she is really serious and in case in the coming days if there could be talks between U.S. and Turkish officials at high level and some concessions could be given to Turkey. I think still there is an opportunity to prevent a Turkish offensive," said Orhan.

ID : 8098202

Published : 2018-12-14 12:12

Last Modified : 2018-12-17 11:03:00

Source : China Central Television (CCTV)

Restrictions : See Shotlist

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