Washington D.C., USA - Oct 16, 2025 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
1. Sign reading "IMF"
2. Press briefing in progress
3. SOUNDBITE (English) Kristalina Georgieva, managing director, International Monetary Fund:
"Our assessment, our view at this point, is that indeed AI will contribute to growth — somewhere between 0.1 and 0.8 percent. This is significant. Remember, we are stuck at around 3 percent growth right now. And if we were to extract that kind of boost of growth, that would be very significant for the world."

Washington D.C., USA - Oct 15, 2025 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
4. International Monetary Fund (IMF) headquarters
5. Various of poster of IMF 2025 Annual Meetings
6. SOUNDBITE (English) Petya Koeva Brooks, deputy director, Research Department, International Monetary Fund:
"We think of AI as a two-sided risk, because in the near term there's a lot of investment in AI, [and] stock markets' valuation have surged. So, in the near term, there may be a risk of some of that kind of adjusting and unwinding, and we draw the similarity with the dot-com period."

Washington D.C., USA - Oct 15-16, 2025 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
7. Logo of IMF Annual Meetings 2025 on doors
8. IMF logo

Washington D.C., USA - Oct 15, 2025 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
9. SOUNDBITE (English) Vitor Gaspar, director, Fiscal Affairs Department, International Monetary Fund (partially overlaid with shot 10):
"So, at this point in time, we do see that the world economy is being helped by developments in artificial intelligence, in particular, and that technology in general. At the same time, it is true, and you can see that documented in the Global Financial Stability Report, that asset valuations are stretched. That is something that leads us to be concerned with the possibility of financial disturbances."

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FILE: New York City, USA - Nov 2022 (CGTN - No access Chinese mainland)
10. NYSE trading floor
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FILE: New York City, USA - Oct 2024 (CCTV Video News Agency - No access Chinese mainland)
11. Various of New York Stock Exchange building, U.S. national flags

Artificial intelligence (AI) could be both an opportunity and a risk for the world economy, according to officials from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

AI's contribution to global economic growth is expected to be significant, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said at a press briefing during the 2025 Annual Meetings of the World Bank Group and the IMF, held from October 13 to 18 in Washington, D.C., US.

"Our assessment, our view at this point, is that indeed AI will contribute to growth — somewhere between 0.1 and 0.8 percent. This is significant. Remember, we are stuck at around 3 percent growth right now. And if we were to extract that kind of boost of growth, that would be very significant for the world," she said.

The risk is that we may end up in a world with increased productivity, but it is also a source of divergence within and across countries, Georgieva said, adding that this is why preparedness really matters.

The IMF pointed out in its latest World Economic Outlook that today's surging investment in artificial intelligence echoes the dot-com boom of the late 1990s. Optimism has driven up technology investment, raised stock valuations, and stimulated consumption through capital gains. However, the potential risk is that if AI fails to meet high profit expectations, the market may significantly reprice, leading to a series of adverse effects, such as eroding wealth and dampening consumption.

"We think of AI as a two-sided risk, because in the near term there's a lot of investment in AI, [and] stock markets' valuation have surged. So, in the near term, there may be a risk of some of that kind of adjusting and unwinding, and we draw the similarity with the dot-com period," said Petya Koeva Brooks, deputy director of the IMF's Research Department.

Vitor Gaspar, director of the IMF's Fiscal Affairs Department, said artificial intelligence is giving the global economy a lift but also contributing to concerns about stretched asset valuations.

"So, at this point in time, we do see that the world economy is being helped by developments in artificial intelligence, in particular, and that technology in general. At the same time, it is true, and you can see that documented in the Global Financial Stability Report, that asset valuations are stretched. That is something that leads us to be concerned with the possibility of financial disturbances," he said.