FILE: Geneva, Switzerland - June 7, 2024 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
1. WMO sign
2. WMO headquarters
3. Various of WMO flags
4. WMO logo

Geneva, Switzerland - June 2, 2026 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
5. SOUNDBITE (English) Wilfran Moufouma Okia, chief of climate prediction, WMO:
"The classification of El Nino, whether it's strong or moderate, is not what really matters, because El Nino will have consequences whenever it happens, depending on the timing, depending on the vulnerability of the country, so that's the most important. So we provide the information El Nino is establishing and then we hope that information will serve to prepare for answering against that threat."

FILE: India - June 25-29, 2023 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
6. Various of farmers in flooded farmland
7. Person punting on floodwater
8. Various of people walking in flooded streets
9. Various of trees in wind
10. Trucks stranded in floodwater
11. Train moving in flood

FILE: Uruguay - Date Unknown (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
12. Various of pedestrians, street

FILE: Berlin, Germany - July 2025 (CCTV - No access Chinese mainland)
13. Pedestrians
14. Various of people buying water-ice

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) warned Tuesday of an 80 percent chance that an El Nino event will develop between June and August, raising the risk of extreme weather in the coming months.

Wilfran Moufouma Okia, chief of climate prediction at WMO, told China Media Group (CMG) that countries should prepare for possible extremes while stressing that information on climate-related disasters should not incite panic.

Speaking at WMO's headquarters in Geneva, Okia said there is currently no evidence that climate change has made El Nino events more frequent or intense. However, he emphasized that climate change can amplify the effects of El Nino, increasing the risk of extreme weather in combination with global warming.

"The classification of El Nino, whether it's strong or moderate, is not what really matters, because El Nino will have consequences whenever it happens, depending on the timing, depending on the vulnerability of the country, so that's the most important. So we provide the information El Nino is establishing and then we hope that information will serve to prepare for answering against that threat," Okia said.

El Nino is a natural climate phenomenon marked by persistently warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific, which alters atmospheric circulation and affects weather and climate patterns worldwide.